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This dissertation discusses three facets of Pacific Northwest (PNW)
Chinook salmon, Oncorhynchus tshawytscha, ecology that
are relevant to current management models used for this
species: 1) life history and migration pathways, 2) the impacts
of spatial and temporal variability on PNW Chinook survival and
maturation as determined using coded wire tags, and 3) the relationship
between recruitment variability and environmental variation, explored
via development of a new age-structured model.
Chinook salmon are commonly categorized as ocean-type (migrating
to the ocean in their first year of life) or stream-type (migrating
after a full year in freshwater). To test the hypothesis that stream-type
and ocean-type Chinook have different migration pathways, I used
a pair-wise design based on coded wire tagging data to compare the
marine distributions of stream- and ocean-type Chinook salmon from
a suite of rivers producing both forms. In cases where there is
minimal gene-flow between both types of Chinook, the hypothesis
is true, but in other cases it is not.
For the second element of the study, I examined PNW Chinook survival
and maturation as estimated using coded wire tag data and related
them to environmental conditions. PNW Chinook
variability in survival and maturation is summarized for twenty
three different PNW stocks and analyzed using multivariate data
analysis techniques. Results indicate that survival is grouped into
eight distinct regional clusters. Age at maturation did not exhibit
regional patterns. Environmental data indicate that PNW salmon survival
is only weakly correlated with ocean conditions and co-vary at distances
of 500 kms, while age at maturation appears to have no linkage to
ocean conditions.
Finally, in order to demonstrate how direct measures of environmental
conditions can be integrated into Chinook salmon stock assessments
I developed a catch-at-age model of Chinook salmon life history
which fits estimated parameters to observed data on ocean catches,
terminal catches, and terminal escapement by age. The model quantifies
uncertainty so that managers can use precautionary approaches to
managing these stocks that would help protect the resource in the
long run, and is tested for one of the stocks used in management.
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